Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. However, not all stories have happy endings. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. Hes still going strong, as hes tops in the NL in wins (8) in 2017. Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. He answers the tough question on if his legacy is enough to get him into the MLB Hall of Fame alongside the all-time greats.Follow all our social media channels for more content!https://twitter.com/FoulTerritoryTVhttps://www.instagram.com/foulterritoryshow/https://www.tiktok.com/@foulterritoryshowhttps://www.facebook.com/FoulTerritoryShowhttps://www.twitch.tv/foulterritoryshow I want to confine my results to the integration era, as, while this whole exercise is based on some level of silliness, I dont think asking Adam Wainwright to win 40 games and pitch 400 innings is particularly fair. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). Drew. Adam Wainwright is the quintessential "Hall of Fame candidate for Cardinals fans" Hall of Fame candidate of the current team. His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. But if it wasn't for . No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Wainwright threw his sinker, cutter and curveball the most, and the velocity on all three pitches measured a significant drop-off from last season. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. Terms of Service. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. How much more does Wainwright need to do to make the Hall of Fame in your eyes? All picks and predictions are suggestions only. deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. Heres hoping this isnt the start of a Ken Griffey Jr.-like slog through the second half of his career. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. Hes produced 5.0 WAR with his pitching but -0.6 WAR with his hitting with a remarkable .000/.000/.000 line taking this no-hitter thing a bit too literally through 50 PA; on Wednesday night, he surpassed Wei-Yin Chens record for season-opening futility, set in 2016. While best known for his voice as the lead sports columnist at the Post-Dispatch for 26 years, Bernie has also written for The Athletic, Dallas Morning News and Baltimore News American. If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. Adam Wainwright Stats. He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. Hell need more to get his name in the HOF conversation, namely multiple Cy Young award victories and a pivotal role in a Boston World Series championship. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. . Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. While it seems impossible to envision it now, Wainwright was not always a member of the St. Louis Cardinals. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. Always ranking QBs. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. 1:09 | September 14, 2022 St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. . After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. 4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. Guerrero had an RBI single during the first inning in his lone at-bat. But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. For a five-year span from 2007-2011, CC Sabathia was regarded as one of the elite pitchers in the game, and he took three different teams to the postseason, winning a ring with the 2009 Yankees. His monitor score is only an 87. As if on schedule, we have our first spring-training round of Is Anything Wrong? with the pitcher. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. The 40-year . We didn't recognize that password reset code. Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. While he has never won a Cy Young Award, he was in the top 3 on four occasions. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). Pujols, Wainwright and Molina were each given an introduction and trotted out to the diamond to be greeted by 16 Cardinals Hall of Famers. He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. Godspeed, Waino. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. 1st stage: All good. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. What injury? Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. During the 2022 regular season, 'Waino' finished with a record of 11-12 and 3.71 ERA in 191.2 innings, while also racking up 143 strikeouts. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. Required fields are marked *. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? The good news is that even with a modest 2.6 WAR this year, hes in his seventh-best season and can make tracks towards the third base peak standard (43.1 WAR). Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's left behind. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. And right now, he simply isnt there. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16.